Bandeirante SPvsUnião São João

COMPLETED

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 9/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

União São João · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Bandeirante SP 0-0 União São João, with an exact score probability of 24%.

Final result

Bandeirante SP 3-1 União São João

Original prediction

União São João

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.41	37.4%	27.0%	-10.4 pts
Draw	3.09	29.3%	31.8%	2.5 pts
Away	2.71	33.3%	41.2%	7.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.9 pts

Projected Score

Bandeirante SP 0–0 União São João

Exact score probability: 24%

Predicted outcome

União São João

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

União São João has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Bandeirante SPLLWDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5

União São JoãoWDDDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5

Bandeirante SPUnião São João

23.8Attack42.9

61.9Defence76.2

38.1Form52.4

43.5Power58.6

0.53xG0.96