GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Banbury United · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Banbury United 2-3 Stratford Town

Original prediction

Banbury United

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8448.9%48.6%-0.3 pts
Draw3.3826.6%26.4%-0.2 pts
Away3.6824.5%25.1%0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

Banbury United

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Banbury United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Banbury UnitedWDLLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Stratford TownLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Banbury UnitedStratford Town
29.2Attack25.0
45.8Defence33.3
25.0Form12.5
36.4Power26.5
1.39xG0.89
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