Banbury Unitedvs
Stamford
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Banbury United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Banbury United 3-2 Stamford
Original prediction
Banbury United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.1% | 60.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 22.9% | 21.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 5.59 | 16.0% | 17.3% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Banbury United
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Banbury United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80