Bamber Bridgevs
Warrington Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warrington Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bamber Bridge 0-1 Warrington Town
Original prediction
Warrington Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 29.5% | 23.2% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.4% | 21.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.0% | 55.6% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
Warrington Town
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Warrington Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60