Bamber Bridgevs
Trafford
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bamber Bridge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bamber Bridge 1-3 Trafford
Original prediction
Bamber Bridge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.5% | 42.9% | -15.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.6% | 27.3% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 20.9% | 29.8% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Bamber Bridge
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Bamber Bridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20