Bamber Bridgevs
Quorn
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bamber Bridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bamber Bridge 2-4 Quorn
Original prediction
Bamber Bridge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 38.8% | 42.2% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.3% | 23.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 36.9% | 34.5% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Bamber Bridge
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Bamber Bridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80