Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Vaduz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Balzers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Vaduz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Vaduz hold a 35.3-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 91.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Cup, while FC Vaduz holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Vaduz
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
FC Vaduz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60