Balzan FCvs
Zabbar St. Patrick
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Balzan FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Balzan FC 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Balzan FC 1-2 Zabbar St. Patrick
Original prediction
Balzan FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.1% | 54.6% | 11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.2% | 25.2% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.7% | 20.2% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Projected Score
Balzan FC 1–0 Zabbar St. Patrick
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Balzan FC
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Balzan FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40