Balzan FCvs
Sliema Wanderers
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Balzan FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Balzan FC 0-0 Sliema Wanderers
Original prediction
Balzan FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 26.8% | 41.1% | 14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.1% | 26.6% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.1% | 32.2% | -11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Balzan FC
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Balzan FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40