GGOALVIO

Malta · Premier League · 8/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marsaxlokk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Balzan FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Marsaxlokk are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Marsaxlokk hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.4% in the Premier League, while Marsaxlokk holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marsaxlokk

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

20.4%

Marsaxlokk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Balzan FCDWLDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
MarsaxlokkLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Balzan FCMarsaxlokk
33.3Attack51.3
64.1Defence70.5
43.6Form55.1
48.0Power59.6
0.61xG1.04
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