Balzan FCvs
Birkirkara
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Balzan FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Balzan FC 0-0 Birkirkara, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Balzan FC 0-2 Birkirkara
Original prediction
Balzan FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.2% | 37.4% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.4% | 30.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.5% | 32.4% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Projected Score
Balzan FC 0–0 Birkirkara
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Balzan FC
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Balzan FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Balzan FCDLDDD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BirkirkaraDLLWD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Balzan FCBirkirkara
44.4Attack37.0
63.0Defence66.7
40.7Form40.7
50.9Power48.5
1.00xG0.78