Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Baltika are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Surkhon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Baltika hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (68.2 v 19.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Baltika holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20