Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidenceBaltika are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rubin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and baltika hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring Baltika with 12.6% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
12.6%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BaltikaWLWLL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RubinDLWLD
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BaltikaRubin
55.6Attack50.0
66.7Defence33.3
66.7Form50.0
64.7Power47.8
1.72xG1.08