GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/20/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baltika · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Baltika are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dinamo Makhachkala are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 23.7 against 23.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Cup, while Baltika holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baltika

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

13.6%

Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaltikaWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MakhachkalaLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BaltikaMakhachkala
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power23.7
1.46xG1.18
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