Baltikavs
Krylia Sovetov
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/2/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baltika 0-0 Krylia Sovetov
Original prediction
Baltika
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 51.7% | 38.2% | -13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.7% | 28.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.32 | 21.6% | 33.3% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BaltikaWDDLW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Krylia SovetovDWDLL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BaltikaKrylia Sovetov
16.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence83.3
16.7Form66.7
36.5Power64.8
1.08xG1.19