Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Baltika are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kaisar are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Baltika hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (68.2 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Baltika holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00