Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baltika 0-0 FC Rostov
Original prediction
Baltika
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 44.4% | 57.4% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 30.5% | 23.9% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 25.1% | 18.7% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BaltikaWDLDL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC RostovLWLLL
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
BaltikaFC Rostov
46.7Attack36.7
60.0Defence43.3
40.0Form36.7
50.0Power41.0
1.74xG0.79