Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Baltika are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Akhmat are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Baltika hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (68.2 v 65.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Baltika holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
14.6%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80