Baltika IIvs
Tver
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baltika II 1-1 Tver
Original prediction
Baltika II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.9% | 72.6% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 19.9% | 15.8% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 5.61 | 16.3% | 11.7% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Baltika II
Probability
72.6%
Model confidence
72.6%
Baltika II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00