Balsicas Atléticovs
Bullas Deportivo
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · 10/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Balsicas Atlético · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Balsicas Atlético 4-1 Bullas Deportivo
Original prediction
Balsicas Atlético
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.9% | 36.6% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 28.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.8% | 34.8% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Balsicas Atlético
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Balsicas Atlético has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20