GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Glentoran · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Ballymena United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Glentoran are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Glentoran hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Premiership, while Glentoran holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Glentoran

Probability

71.7%

Model confidence

14.5%

Glentoran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ballymena UnitedWLLDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GlentoranWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ballymena UnitedGlentoran
25.8Attack63.2
40.8Defence60.7
25.8Form51.3
33.3Power56.6
0.64xG2.20
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