Ballymena Unitedvs
Crusaders FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/11/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ballymena United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ballymena United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Crusaders FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballymena United hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Premiership, while Ballymena United holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ballymena United
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Ballymena United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40