GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/11/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ballymena United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ballymena United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Crusaders FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballymena United hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Premiership, while Ballymena United holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ballymena United

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Ballymena United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ballymena UnitedLWLDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Crusaders FCLLDWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ballymena UnitedCrusaders FC
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
59.3Power53.0
1.65xG1.19
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