Ballymena Unitedvs
Carrick Rangers
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carrick Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ballymena United 1-1 Carrick Rangers
Original prediction
Carrick Rangers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.0% | 36.4% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 25.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.4% | 37.7% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Carrick Rangers
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Carrick Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40