GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portadown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ballyclare Comrades are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Portadown are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Portadown hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Championship, while Portadown holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portadown

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Portadown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ballyclare ComradesLWLDD

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
PortadownWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ballyclare ComradesPortadown
64.0Attack64.9
47.4Defence53.5
53.5Form62.3
55.2Power60.9
1.90xG1.93
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