GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bangor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ballyclare Comrades are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Bangor are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bangor hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Championship, while Bangor holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bangor

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Bangor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ballyclare ComradesLDDLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
BangorWLDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ballyclare ComradesBangor
64.0Attack67.5
47.4Defence61.4
53.5Form59.6
55.2Power61.9
1.58xG2.00
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