Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Prishtina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ballkani 0-1 Prishtina, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ballkani 0-1 Prishtina
Original prediction
Prishtina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 07:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 28.5% | 21.1% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 25.7% | 26.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 45.8% | 52.8% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Projected Score
Ballkani 0–1 Prishtina
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Prishtina
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Prishtina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BallkaniLWLDL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PrishtinaDDWWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BallkaniPrishtina
37.0Attack79.2
66.7Defence79.2
48.1Form83.3
52.4Power80.1
0.64xG1.40