Ballkanivs
Ludogorets
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 7/11/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ballkani are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 3.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ludogorets are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the UEFA Champions League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 3.50/2.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80