Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ballkani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Ballkani are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gjilani are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LDLD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballkani hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (69.6 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Superliga, while Ballkani holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ballkani
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Ballkani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25