Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ballkani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ballkani 0-0 Dukagjini
Original prediction
Ballkani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.2% | 36.9% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.2% | 28.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 29.6% | 34.4% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Ballkani
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Ballkani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BallkaniLWWWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DukagjiniWWDWD
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BallkaniDukagjini
53.3Attack46.7
60.0Defence80.0
60.0Form73.3
59.1Power69.5
1.09xG1.12