Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ballkani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ballkani 0-0 Drita, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ballkani 0-1 Drita
Original prediction
Ballkani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 42.9% | 38.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.6% | 31.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.5% | 30.6% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Projected Score
Ballkani 0–0 Drita
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Ballkani
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Ballkani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BallkaniWLDLW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DritaLDWDL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BallkaniDrita
41.7Attack38.1
66.7Defence71.4
54.2Form52.4
56.0Power56.3
0.91xG0.79