GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ballinamallard United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Ballinamallard United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Knockbreda are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballinamallard United hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 23.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.0% in the Championship, while Ballinamallard United holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ballinamallard United

Probability

75.0%

Model confidence

75.0%

Ballinamallard United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ballinamallard UnitedWLLLD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KnockbredaLLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.33/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Ballinamallard UnitedKnockbreda
44.7Attack29.8
55.3Defence12.3
44.7Form15.8
48.5Power23.2
2.61xG0.69
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