GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ballinamallard United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Ballinamallard United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Dergview are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 2.33 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballinamallard United hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the Championship, while Ballinamallard United holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ballinamallard United

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

61.6%

Ballinamallard United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ballinamallard UnitedLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DergviewLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 2.33/3.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Ballinamallard UnitedDergview
44.7Attack35.8
55.3Defence32.5
44.7Form24.2
48.5Power33.3
2.06xG0.85
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