Balıkesirsporvs
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Balıkesirspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Balıkesirspor 1-0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Original prediction
Balıkesirspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 01:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.4% | 48.5% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.5% | 25.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 20.2% | 25.9% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Balıkesirspor
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Balıkesirspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40