Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Balkan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Balkan are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Aşgabat are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Balkan hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (38.6 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Ýokary Liga, while Balkan holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Balkan
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Balkan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00