GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/12/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bansko · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Balkan Botevgrad are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bansko are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bansko hold a 49.7-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Third League - Southwest, while Bansko holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bansko

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Bansko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Balkan BotevgradWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
BanskoWL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Balkan BotevgradBansko
16.7Attack83.3
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
21.5Power71.2
1.14xG1.82
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