Balingenvs
FC Holzhausen
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Balingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Balingen 1-3 FC Holzhausen
Original prediction
Balingen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.5% | 49.1% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.1% | 22.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 36.4% | 28.5% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Balingen
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Balingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20