Bali Unitedvs
PSS Sleman
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bali United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bali United 2-1 PSS Sleman
Original prediction
Bali United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.4% | 52.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.6% | 23.6% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.31 | 21.0% | 24.2% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Bali United
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Bali United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20