Bali Unitedvs
Persijap
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bali United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bali United 6-1 Persijap
Original prediction
Bali United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.1% | 55.5% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.3% | 24.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 5.80 | 15.6% | 20.4% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Bali United
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Bali United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00