Bali Unitedvs
Garudayaksa
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/21/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bali United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bali United 5-0 Garudayaksa
Original prediction
Bali United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.4% | 56.3% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 21.1% | 22.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 5.16 | 17.6% | 21.3% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Bali United
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Bali United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40