Bala Townvs
Newtown AFC
SCHEDULEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bala Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Newtown AFC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Newtown AFC hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 98.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the FAW Championship, favouring a draw with 10.6% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.8%
Model confidence
10.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00