Baku Sportinqvs
MOIK
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 10/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MOIK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baku Sportinq 1-3 MOIK
Original prediction
MOIK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.24 | 27.8% | 23.8% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.0% | 25.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.1% | 50.7% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
MOIK
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
MOIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Baku SportinqLLLLD
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MOIKWWDLW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Baku SportinqMOIK
0.0Attack50.0
25.0Defence83.3
0.0Form58.3
14.6Power63.5
0.88xG1.81