Baku Sportinqvs
Karvan
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 9/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karvan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Baku Sportinq 0-1 Karvan, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Baku Sportinq 0-3 Karvan
Original prediction
Karvan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.0% | 20.4% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.7% | 25.0% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.3% | 54.6% | 16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.3 pts
Projected Score
Baku Sportinq 0–1 Karvan
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Karvan
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Karvan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Baku SportinqDWWDL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KarvanDLLLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Baku SportinqKarvan
26.9Attack49.4
44.9Defence58.0
34.6Form54.3
38.3Power54.1
0.69xG1.56