Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gori · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Bakhmaro are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DLWW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gori are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gori hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 60.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Liga 3, while Gori holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gori
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Gori has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.75/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33