Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bahla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bahla 4-0 Fanja
Original prediction
Bahla
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.7% | 51.6% | -21.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.58 | 16.3% | 25.0% | 8.7 pts |
| Away | 8.17 | 11.1% | 23.4% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Bahla
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Bahla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BahlaDWLLW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FanjaWLDLL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BahlaFanja
100.0Attack50.0
77.8Defence50.0
77.8Form41.7
81.4Power48.8
2.08xG1.06