Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Seeb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bahla 1-3 Al Seeb
Original prediction
Al Seeb
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.35 | 17.0% | 33.0% | 16.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 27.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 57.8% | 39.3% | -18.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Seeb
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Al Seeb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BahlaNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Al SeebLDWLD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BahlaAl Seeb
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24