Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bahia W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bahia W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Santos W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia W hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Brasileiro Women, while Bahia W holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bahia W
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
12.5%
Bahia W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80