Bahia Wvs
Palmeiras W
COMPLETEDBrazil · Brasileiro Women · 9/1/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bahia W 1-1 Palmeiras W
Original prediction
Palmeiras W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.67 | 19.5% | 27.8% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.2% | 28.6% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 55.3% | 43.6% | -11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras W
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Palmeiras W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20