Bahia Wvs
Corinthians W
COMPLETEDBrazil · Brasileiro Women · 9/16/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corinthians W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bahia W 0-1 Corinthians W
Original prediction
Corinthians W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.79 | 18.9% | 26.7% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 27.2% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 57.4% | 46.1% | -11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Corinthians W
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Corinthians W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20