GGOALVIO

Bahia logoBahiavsBotafogo logoBotafogo

COMPLETED

Brazil · Serie A · 4/24/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bahia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bahia are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Botafogo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Serie A, while Bahia holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bahia

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Bahia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BahiaLWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
BotafogoWWWDW

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BahiaBotafogo
46.4Attack55.6
59.4Defence47.6
49.3Form47.6
53.6Power51.5
1.57xG1.23
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