Bahiavs
Atletico Paranaense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bahia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
18.6%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20